J Korean Ophthalmol Soc > Volume 60(9); 2019 > Article
Journal of the Korean Ophthalmological Society 2019;60(9):829-834.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3341/jkos.2019.60.9.829    Published online September 15, 2019.
Estimated Incidence and Cost Projections of Cataract Surgery in the Republic of Korea.
Sun Young Ryu, Jiwon Kim, Jung Hwa Hong, Eun Jee Chung
1Department of Ophthalmology, National Health Insurance Service Ilsan Hospital, Goyang, Korea. eunjee95@nhimc.or.kr
2Department of Policy Research Affairs, National Health Insurance Service Ilsan Hospital, Goyang, Korea.
국내 백내장수술과 향후 의료비용 연구
류선영1 · 김지원1 · 홍정화2 · 정은지1
국민건강보험 일산병원 안과1, 국민건강보험 일산병원 정책연구소2
Correspondence:  Eun Jee Chung,
Email: eunjee95@nhimc.or.kr
Received: 27 March 2019   • Revised: 29 March 2019   • Accepted: 16 August 2019
Abstract
PURPOSE
We sought to predict the future incidence and health expenditures of cataract surgery in the Republic of Korea. METHODS: From 2011 to 2015, National Health Insurance claims data were used to estimate the incidence and prevalence changes of cataract surgery according to demographic characteristics (year, sex, residence, and age). Based on the above results and changes in future population distribution, we estimated the incidence of cataract surgery by 2030. Considering the cost of cataract surgery from 2011 to 2015, we also predicted future health expenditures for cataract surgery. RESULTS: A total of 2,236,107 eyes of 1,591,176 patients underwent cataract surgery from 2011 to 2015. The total number of operated eyes per year increased, from 427,729 to 492,700 (+15%), and the number of patients increased from 306,710 to 346,056 (+12%) from 2011 to 2015. The cost of cataract surgery reimbursed by the National Health Insurance Service (NHIS) increased from 408,307,530,900 won ($360 million) to 449,334,367,080 won ($399 million) (+9%). The future prevalence of cataract surgery was predicted to reach 562,003 in 2030 from 346,056 in 2015. The cost of cataract surgery is expected to increase from 449 billion won ($399 million) in 2015 to 641 billion won ($570 million) in 2030. CONCLUSIONS: Cataract surgery and medical expenses will increase due to social aging. Therefore, we need policies to secure medical resources and expand insurance indications.
Key Words: Cataract;Health expenditure;Prevalence


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